Betting on and profiting from the NFL requires a little knowledge, the right tools, and a betting strategy to make it all work. In this article I will give you the specific knowledge, describe the tools needed, and provide the only betting rule you need to know to win. What knowledge do you need? There is only one thing you really need to know. The books do not control the probabilities of the outcome the same way casinos control their games. To offset the lack of control, they charge a vig. But that lack of control is also what makes winning possible even when starting at a 2.4% monetary disadvantage.
Because the books can not control the probabilities, you can. The books use point spreads to encourage betting one way or the other. It is their feeble attempt to control the probabilities across the board. But over time, advantages can be found by betting certain spread situations that have shown a high historical probability of a win. The only tool you need to have is a chart of the spreads that will profit for you. Betting spreads without the right tools can leave you betting at under a 40% probability of winning. How many mistakes like that can your bankroll stand?
Once you understand the books do not control the edge and gain that control for yourself by using the right tools, you need a betting strategy that will allow you to take advantage of those edges over the long haul. There is only one way to bet, and that is a flat bet every time for the same amount. Anything else will prove destructive to your bankroll and eliminate any advantage you may have gained with your knowledge and tools. Always remember this: No game is worth more than any other game.
You win a lot by winning a little at a time in a lot of different ways. The risk is spread out over many smaller systems that always have an edge on every bet you place. Winning money on the NFL is easy with the right knowledge, tools, and betting strategy.
