Betting on and profiting from the NFL requires a little knowledge, the right tools, and a betting strategy to make it all work. In this article I will give you the specific knowledge, describe the tools needed, and provide the only betting rule you need to know to win. What knowledge do you need? There is only one thing you really need to know. The books do not control the probabilities of the outcome the same way casinos control their games. To offset the lack of control, they charge a vig. But that lack of control is also what makes winning possible even when starting at a 2.4% monetary disadvantage.
Because the books can not control the probabilities, you can. The books use point spreads to encourage betting one way or the other. It is their feeble attempt to control the probabilities across the board. But over time, advantages can be found by betting certain spread situations that have shown a high historical probability of a win. The only tool you need to have is a chart of the spreads that will profit for you. Betting spreads without the right tools can leave you betting at under a 40% probability of winning. How many mistakes like that can your bankroll stand?
Once you understand the books do not control the edge and gain that control for yourself by using the right tools, you need a betting strategy that will allow you to take advantage of those edges over the long haul. There is only one way to bet, and that is a flat bet every time for the same amount. Anything else will prove destructive to your bankroll and eliminate any advantage you may have gained with your knowledge and tools. Always remember this: No game is worth more than any other game.
You win a lot by winning a little at a time in a lot of different ways. The risk is spread out over many smaller systems that always have an edge on every bet you place. Winning money on the NFL is easy with the right knowledge, tools, and betting strategy.
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
A Winning NFL Spread Betting Strategy
Most football bettors like to bet on the NFL. I am not an exception. But it is much more enjoyable now that I have discovered how to win using NFL point spreads. Over the last few years I have won between 55 and 64% of the games I bet. And many of the bets I place are based on nothing more than the point spread number and game situation.
Most bettors have no idea how they can use point spreads in the NFL to gain an advantage. They use the spread numbers only as a guide to interpreting their statistical handicapping. In other words, a point spread bet is nothing more than a guess.
If you desire to win betting on point spreads in the NFL, you need a strategy that will allow you to do it. That strategy has to be to bet on every game where the point spread number has shown a long term probability of the outcome going one way or the other. Any spread that has shown a 53% or greater win rate should be bet, and there are many that have shown such an advantage.
A winning NFL spread betting strategy uses verified information about the past performance of spreads over a long time. That information is applied by placing only bets where the advantage exceeds 53% so you are betting every game with a known advantage.
The result is that you will win money the same way the house does at every casino. They have an advantage on every bet. A winning NFL spread betting strategy will put that advantage in your favor so you can be the winner.
Sports betting on point spreads is the only opportunity in gambling that presents such an advantage to the player. But you can only take advantage of it with the right information and the strategy to apply it. Winning takes knowledge.
Most bettors have no idea how they can use point spreads in the NFL to gain an advantage. They use the spread numbers only as a guide to interpreting their statistical handicapping. In other words, a point spread bet is nothing more than a guess.
If you desire to win betting on point spreads in the NFL, you need a strategy that will allow you to do it. That strategy has to be to bet on every game where the point spread number has shown a long term probability of the outcome going one way or the other. Any spread that has shown a 53% or greater win rate should be bet, and there are many that have shown such an advantage.
A winning NFL spread betting strategy uses verified information about the past performance of spreads over a long time. That information is applied by placing only bets where the advantage exceeds 53% so you are betting every game with a known advantage.
The result is that you will win money the same way the house does at every casino. They have an advantage on every bet. A winning NFL spread betting strategy will put that advantage in your favor so you can be the winner.
Sports betting on point spreads is the only opportunity in gambling that presents such an advantage to the player. But you can only take advantage of it with the right information and the strategy to apply it. Winning takes knowledge.
Wednesday, February 9, 2011
Football Betting Systems
When we talk about sports investing we are not only referring to random picking of football teams and games to bet on. For the most part of the activity, a true blue sports bettor will use a solid football betting system or strategy while considering the prevailing betting odds. Most of these wagering systems are based on a specific form of rating scheme where a particular football team is assigned a numerical value based on certain critical parameters such as league ranking, recent team performance and home advantage.
If you are engaging in sports investing for the first time, it is a must that you first familiarize yourself with the dynamics and nuances of the games as well as the rules of the sport before you can start developing a solid football betting system or strategy. This task can be easily completed if you have prior knowledge or background on the sport as a tactician, informed spectator or even as a player. If it is your first time to get involved in this form of sport, it is best that you watch and carefully analyze collegiate and pro league matches so that you will learn how the games are being played.
It is true that you cannot possibly find a specific football betting system that offer a 100% winning clip. Further, these wagering systems are not created equal. You will find a wagering system that has a much better winning clip than the rest. In addition to this basic fact about wagering systems, you must also remember that a particular system or strategy that worked perfectly well in a specific football season may turnout to be a total failure in the current season. For instance, pro league football punters may analyze the team standings in forecasting the outcome of the matches. One bettor may adopt a specific football betting system that states that in situations where the home team is about 3 or more spots higher than the opposing team, then the home team will most likely come out the winner.
This betting option can be correct over the course of 3 seasons. However, this betting strategy should not be taken in absolute terms. The more seasoned sports bettors will also have to take into account goal difference, player on the injured list and current team form. These variables are considered when analyzing the betting odds that are being presented on a particular matchup.
If you are engaging in sports investing for the first time, it is a must that you first familiarize yourself with the dynamics and nuances of the games as well as the rules of the sport before you can start developing a solid football betting system or strategy. This task can be easily completed if you have prior knowledge or background on the sport as a tactician, informed spectator or even as a player. If it is your first time to get involved in this form of sport, it is best that you watch and carefully analyze collegiate and pro league matches so that you will learn how the games are being played.
It is true that you cannot possibly find a specific football betting system that offer a 100% winning clip. Further, these wagering systems are not created equal. You will find a wagering system that has a much better winning clip than the rest. In addition to this basic fact about wagering systems, you must also remember that a particular system or strategy that worked perfectly well in a specific football season may turnout to be a total failure in the current season. For instance, pro league football punters may analyze the team standings in forecasting the outcome of the matches. One bettor may adopt a specific football betting system that states that in situations where the home team is about 3 or more spots higher than the opposing team, then the home team will most likely come out the winner.
This betting option can be correct over the course of 3 seasons. However, this betting strategy should not be taken in absolute terms. The more seasoned sports bettors will also have to take into account goal difference, player on the injured list and current team form. These variables are considered when analyzing the betting odds that are being presented on a particular matchup.
Wednesday, February 2, 2011
A Smart NFL Betting System?
I have found that this betting system for NFL wins about 60% of the time providing a profit every season. Hopefully it will continue and you can win also. It's very easy to learn and use so there's no excuse for not giving it a try - good luck!
First, take a look at the NFL schedule for the week and identify the underdogs playing at home.
For the underdog team playing at home, take note of the team they are playing against. What you want to do now is compare the stadium surface of the team playing at home against the stadium surface that the away team is used to playing on. I shall list all the NFL teams play surfaces below.
If the underdog team playing at home is playing on a different type of surface than the away teams home stadium, then bet for the home underdog team in the point spread to win.
Basically this NFL betting system is to bet on the underdog team playing at home versus a team that is not used to playing on that stadiums surface type. Always bet on the point spread, not the money line.
For example, if the Cleveland Browns are playing at home versus the New England Patriots and the Browns are the underdogs, then you will place a straight wager bet on the Cleveland Browns in this game as the Browns stadium has a grass surface, while the Patriots home stadium has a turf surface. The Patriots are more used to the turf surface that they play on at home, therefore their chances of winning notably lessens when they are playing on a stadium that has a grass surface.
Here are the NFL surface conditions to help you with this 63 percent winning system:
NFL Teams and Home Surface Conditions
There you have it. A simple NFL Betting System for you to use and profit from. Now, here are some additional NFL Betting System Tips to support this system. If you are new to American Sports Betting there are a couple of terms worth learning. Firstly, to bet on the money line means to bet on a team to win outright. If the team wins, you win, if it loses, you lose.
The money line has different odd values depending on the teams involved so betting on the underdog team (like in the betting system above) you'll win more and less when betting on the favourite. The other type of bet is betting on the "Point Spread". This is a form of handicapping in which odds makers predict the level of points stronger one team can be expected to be over another. So, if your bet is on a team which has a +3 in the point spread it means that even if this team loses the game by 2 points, your bet will still prevail. Again, if the team you are betting on has a - 4 point spread, then for your bet to win your team has to beat the other team by more than 4 points.
The point spread changes during the days run up to the game. As you'll be betting on the underdog with this NFL betting strategy its best to look for better value early on as opposed to wait.
First, take a look at the NFL schedule for the week and identify the underdogs playing at home.
For the underdog team playing at home, take note of the team they are playing against. What you want to do now is compare the stadium surface of the team playing at home against the stadium surface that the away team is used to playing on. I shall list all the NFL teams play surfaces below.
If the underdog team playing at home is playing on a different type of surface than the away teams home stadium, then bet for the home underdog team in the point spread to win.
Basically this NFL betting system is to bet on the underdog team playing at home versus a team that is not used to playing on that stadiums surface type. Always bet on the point spread, not the money line.
For example, if the Cleveland Browns are playing at home versus the New England Patriots and the Browns are the underdogs, then you will place a straight wager bet on the Cleveland Browns in this game as the Browns stadium has a grass surface, while the Patriots home stadium has a turf surface. The Patriots are more used to the turf surface that they play on at home, therefore their chances of winning notably lessens when they are playing on a stadium that has a grass surface.
Here are the NFL surface conditions to help you with this 63 percent winning system:
NFL Teams and Home Surface Conditions
- Arizona Cardinals Grass
- Atlanta Falcons Turf
- Baltimore Ravens Turf
- Buffalo Bills Turf
- Carolina Panthers Grass
- Chicago Bears Grass
- Cincinnati Bengals Turf
- Cleveland Browns Grass
- Dallas Cowboys Turf
- Denver Broncos Grass
- Detroit Lions Turf
- Green Bay Packers Grass
- Houston Texans Grass
- Indianapolis Colts Turf
- Jacksonville Jaguars Grass
- Kansas City Chiefs Grass
- Minnesota Vikings Turf
- New England Patriots Turf
- New Orleans Saints Turf
- NY Giants Turf
- NY Jets Turf
- Oakland Raiders Grass
- Philadelphia Eagles Grass
- Pittsburgh Steelers Grass
- St. Louis Rams Turf
- San Diego Chargers Grass
There you have it. A simple NFL Betting System for you to use and profit from. Now, here are some additional NFL Betting System Tips to support this system. If you are new to American Sports Betting there are a couple of terms worth learning. Firstly, to bet on the money line means to bet on a team to win outright. If the team wins, you win, if it loses, you lose.
The money line has different odd values depending on the teams involved so betting on the underdog team (like in the betting system above) you'll win more and less when betting on the favourite. The other type of bet is betting on the "Point Spread". This is a form of handicapping in which odds makers predict the level of points stronger one team can be expected to be over another. So, if your bet is on a team which has a +3 in the point spread it means that even if this team loses the game by 2 points, your bet will still prevail. Again, if the team you are betting on has a - 4 point spread, then for your bet to win your team has to beat the other team by more than 4 points.
The point spread changes during the days run up to the game. As you'll be betting on the underdog with this NFL betting strategy its best to look for better value early on as opposed to wait.
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